English 
Français
Wednesday, September 30 / 1:30 PM - 3:00 PM   •   Karam 2

Session 119:
Probabilistic population projection

Chair: Wolfgang Lutz, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)

  1. Sub-national stochastic population projections with highly volatile international migration: the case of New Zealand • Michael Cameron, University of Waikato ; Jacques Poot, University of Waikato

  2. The random country model: an examination of likely demographic surprises in Latin America and their fiscal impact • Timothy Miller, CEPAL ; Guiomar Bay, CELADE ; Ruiz Magda, CELADE

  3. Forecasting city population growth in developing countries • Mark R. Montgomery, Population Council ; Thomas Buettner, United Nations ; Susana Beatriz Adamo, Columbia University ; Donghwan Kim, Stony Brook University, State University of New York (SUNY)

  4. Prediction and error propagation in cohort diffusion models • Mikko Myrskylä, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

Other sessions on Forecasting, methods and data