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Economic cycles, poverty and population well-being in Brazil

Ana Oliveira, Centro de Desenvolvimento e Planejamento Regional (CEDEPLAR)
Frederico Jayme, Centro de Desenvolvimento e Planejamento Regional (CEDEPLAR)
Claudia Vianna, Centro de Desenvolvimento e Planejamento Regional (CEDEPLAR)
Stephania Campos, Centro de Desenvolvimento e Planejamento Regional (CEDEPLAR)

Economic growth is considered a key-issue for the overcoming of the Brazilian economy's structural difficulties. Through the accelerated growth of the economy, there are effects of creation of wealth and employment, of sustainability of social policies or even of balance in public accounts. However, the macroeconomic cycles affect the individuals, the families, the companies and the government in an asymmetric way. Therefore, it urges to understand how these effects are to be felt by the most privileged part of the population, as well as by the poorest. The research is based on a triennial cohort pseudo-panel built from the PNAD database, and our major aims are to find the connection between the real wage progression and poverty, as well as its impacts on the population well-being.

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Presented in Session 2: Macro and micro determinants of poverty dynamics