Wednesday, September 30 / 1:30 PM - 3:00 PM   •   Karam 2

Session 119:
Probabilistic population projection

Chair: Wolfgang Lutz, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA)

  1. Sub-national stochastic population projections with highly volatile international migration: the case of New ZealandMichael Cameron, University of Waikato ; Jacques Poot, University of Waikato

  2. The random country model: an examination of likely demographic surprises in Latin America and their fiscal impactTimothy Miller, CEPAL ; Guiomar Bay, CELADE ; Ruiz Magda, CELADE

  3. Forecasting city population growth in developing countriesMark R. Montgomery, Population Council ; Thomas Buettner, United Nations ; Susana Beatriz Adamo, Columbia University ; Donghwan Kim, Stony Brook University, State University of New York (SUNY)

  4. Prediction and error propagation in cohort diffusion modelsMikko Myrskylä, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

Other sessions on Forecasting, methods and data